UFC betting can be as simple as picking who will win the fight. Bbut keen gamblers can also create unique betting opportunities by browsing extended markets that allow for a wider range of betting options. The Ultimate Fighting Championship is the largest mixed martial arts promotion in the world and has been in existence since 1993. Although the company has experienced a rocky history, it has come out swinging and is now arguably the top fighting organization on the planet, drawing even more global interest than the sport of boxing, and quickly carving out a distinct presence for legal UFC. UFC betting can be as simple as picking who will win the fight. Bbut keen gamblers can also create unique betting opportunities by browsing extended markets that allow for a wider range of betting options. The UFC, the Ultimate Fighting Championship, is the no.1 MMA discipline in the world with it generating huge betting interest, learn about the best online betting sites for the UFC, top bet bonuses and how to bet on the sport.
Your UFC Headquarters
The Ultimate Fighting Championship will give us a very entertaining fight on February 6th, when Alistair Overeem collides with Alexander Volkov. The UFC odds favor Usman but Burns knows him extremely well.
This fight was supposed to take place at UFC 251 and then UFC 256 it fell apart both times. Burns posses a considerable threat to Usman. “Me and Kamaru had over 200 rounds sparring, at least,” Burns told MMA Junkie. “We started training together in 2012 in Blackzillians. Then Blackzillians broke down, they disappeared, so we moved with Henri Hooft. We went to a place called Combat Club. Then we were there for almost a year, and then we opened up the Hard Knocks. We were at Hard Knocks for two years. Then we moved to Sanford MMA and then we been in Sanford for a total of two years. So I’ve trained with Kamaru for seven years and we both love to train.
He was a good training partner for me and I was good partner for him. Just sparring sessions, over 200. And just the grappling sessions, plus the wrestling sessions, for sure I have so many hours on the mat with Kamaru. We know each other very well.”
Usman’s current 12-fight win streak saw him go from an unknown to one of the most dominant champions in the UFC. Usman has not lost many rounds in his career but his rise wasn’t easy. This is a special fighter that has wins against Sean Strickland, Sergio Moraes, Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos, Tyron Woodley and Colby Covington. In his last fight, he beat Jorge Masvidal via unanimous decision to retain his UFC welterweight title at UFC 251 on July 11th.
- Born: May 11th, 1987
- Age: 33
- Country: United States
- Height: 6’0″
- Weight: 155 lbs
- Reach: 76″
- Stance: Switch
- Association: Hard Knocks 365
- Class: Welterweight
- Record: 17-1
Gilbert Burns is one of the fastest rising welterweights in the UFC and now he can dethrone his former sparring partner to win the title. Burns had no problem calling out Usman after his impressive unanimous decision victory against former champion Tyron Woodley at UFC on ESPN 9 on May 30th. On top of that showing, Burns being the only fighter to ever knock out the legendary Demian Maia meant that it was only a matter of time before he would get a title opportunity.
- Born: July 20th, 1986
- Age: 33
- Country: Brazil
- Height: 5’10″
- Weight: 170 lbs
- Reach: 71″
- Stance: Orthodox
- Association: Hard Knocks 365
- Class: Welterweight
- Record: 19-3
UFC Betting Guide
UFC Betting News
Betting on UFC Fights Online
Betting on a UFC fight has never been easier with websites like Sportsbook Review offering a host of the best available online betting sites.
In the early years of UFC betting only a small variety of betting sites would offer any online betting UFC fights odds for upcoming events, but today finding a place for MMA betting online has never been easier. Almost every bookmaker available will offer some kind of UFC betting market.
Where Can I Bet on the UFC?
In the modern age of sports betting, finding your favorite sport has never been easier with your favorite sportsbook becoming accessible through your desktop computer or mobile phone app.
The world of mixed martial arts is quickly becoming one of the public’s most favorite sport to bet and for good reason. The high energy, hardworking fighters of the Ultimate Fighting Championship put their bodies on the line every weekend to entertain the fans.
Mixed martial arts (MMA) is reaching new heights of popularity. With the likes of Khabib Nurmagomedov, Jon Jones & Amanda Nunes flying the flag of the UFC’s combat sport’s reputation war in Las Vegas, the sports betting market has also gained some serious interest. It’s the fastest-growing sport on the planet and in years to come sporting juggernauts such as the NHL, NBA, NFL could all be bowing down to the power of the UFC and mixed martial arts in general.
The United States is the home of the UFC but countries such as Brazil have been heavily involved due to their contribution in MMA. Brazilian jiu-jitsu and other combat sports can put themselves on a bigger map with a wider audience when fighting for the UFC, which will also eventually stem back to the betting market. The North American betting market, in particular, has taken a huge interest in mixed martial arts gambling.
When venturing into the betting market, selecting a bookmaker can be overwhelming for new bettors, and even experienced gamblers will stumble across the need for a new sports betting site. Well, if you’re looking for some serious competitors in the MMA betting market, look no further. BetOnline has been in the sports betting industry for over twenty years and is one of the most trusted sportsbooks online. Known for their wide array of live betting options, the goal of BetOnline remains as one of the main players in the online sports betting world.
Whilst navigating their simple, yet sleek website interface, you’ll find the simplicity in placing your live wagers nothing to stress about. When accessing the live MMA betting panel, you’ll have plenty of time between fights/rounds to locate and lock in your bet. It doesn’t just stop with the UFC; BetOnline covers all of your favorite sports and many other niche betting markets with some great customer service at hand. Any major sport that comes to mind and BetOnline will have you covered, from MLB, NLH, NBA or NFL.
Another popular perk when becoming a BetOnline customer is their cryptocurrency option and the promotions available with it. Percentage discounts and rewards are currently available if you’d rather gamble with Bitcoin. Bovada has been a true staple in the betting industry and is considered as one of the best online sportsbooks in the United States. Since its predecessor (Bodog) was pulled from the US market back in 2011, Bovada ran with the torch and remain as a top player in the gambling market.
A top-quality service offered by Bovada would have to be their shining light. When betting on the UFC in particular, bettors can sometimes wait up to two weeks before the following event is scheduled. This means Bovadas speedy payment process which has been overly simplified always becomes a plus if you enjoy withdrawing/deposit fast. Also, they offer Bitcoin, credit cards, gift cards and all those juicy betting bonuses upon becoming a member.
BookMaker is a pioneer and one of the leading betting markets in sports today – widely recognised by professional sports handicappers as “Where the Line Originates” in a time where the internet wasn’t even popular.
BookMaker is trusted, secure and fast, delivering a wide range of propositional betting markets whilst supplying the same high demand for live events. Now you can also deposit with near enough every cryptocurrency available; allowing bettors to withdraw their winnings almost instantly after their bets have cashed.
With a huge selection of prop markets and some awesome customer service, BookMaker has gained a reputation in offering some of the most off-key and craziest selections of betting. They’re known by the pros as where Las Vegas heads for a little assistance with their opening line. It’s hard not to find what you’re looking for with BookMaker. An online sportsbook you won’t regret signing with.
5Dimes is one of the greatest in online gambling, dedicated to providing its members with a fun and secure place for online wagers. First established in San Jose, Costa Rica, they’ve been fighting their way to the top since 1996.
5Dimes has found to have had some soft betting lines, particularly the UFC market and with soft lines usually follows plenty of value. So, if you’re an avid mixed martial arts gambler then 5Dimes could be the one for you. A fair, popular and reasonable online sportsbook so if you want to bet fights, look no further.
How to Bet UFC Fights & Reading UFC Odds
There are three commonly used odds formats that you may stumble across whilst UFC betting. Decimal, Fractional and American odds all provide the same odds reading, just with a different approach.
We’ll be using the American odds format based on its simplicity of understanding, for example.
Bet one – $100 stake on Daniel Cormier at odds of +100 = $100 profit or loss.
Odds of +100 are known as ‘even odds’ or ‘plus money’ if referring to anything +100 or above; meaning that the amount you stake will be the same as what you profit. In reverse, when the odds are presented for the favorite, you’ll have to invest more to get a $100 return. These kinds of investments can affect your return of investment long-term, but we’ll discuss that later on.
Bet two -$200 stake on Jon Jones at odds of -200 = $100 profit or a $200 loss.
Understanding Probability and Finding Value
Simple probability is easy to understand and can give you a clear direction. When measuring the likelihood of a UFC betting outcome it’s often used as a percentage on betting sites, with 100% implying a guarantee and 0% implying impossibility. The toss of a coin is a perfect example of probability with heads or tails making the probability 50% for each side.
Sports betting on UFC probability, in particular, work in a slightly different way. A precise probability is impossible to come by, down to the variables involved. You can do all the statistical research, fighter analytics and take every factor that determines a result into account, but you’ll still be left with an inaccurate possibility.
The most you can do whilst handicapping the UFC is calculate your own belief of what you expect the outcome to be, which may sound daunting, but don’t forget sportsbooks are also in the same boat with pressures and time limits involved, unlike ourselves
Finding an edge over the bookmaker in the UFC betting markets isn’t a walk in the park. The odds created by them do often reflect the likely outcome, but they aren’t accurate representations of the probabilities that are used. They’ll have to guess which fighter wins and then adjust the odds around whatever built-in margin method is practiced.
Yes, of course, the betting odds always favor the bookmaker, but it’s more than possible to take advantage of the UFC betting market with knowledge and understanding of the sport itself and some basic investing strategies that we’ll cover to prepare you for fight night.
Money Line Betting
Perhaps the most simplistic method of placing a bet on a UFC fight and sports, in general, would be matched betting or better known as ‘betting the money line’.
Simply put: all you have to do is pick fighter A or fighter B. This method is obviously the most common but you’ll often find punters end their run-in frustration due to tailing the heavily juiced favorites. These losses tend to steer punters towards the parlay or prop bet markets in search for juicier pay-outs with less at stake.
Betting the money line is still today the most popular betting method across all sports with profits ranging from 40% to 60% of your initial stake on the favorites side to bet.
Method of Victory
The UFC has been putting on some of the most entertaining fights for 25+ years from pay per views to fight nights, which in retrospect, makes them a baby in comparison to its competitors. And for entertainment purposes, there’s nothing a fight fan loves more than a UFC knockout/KO/ or TKO victory to end the fight.
Also known as a prop bet, in the method to victory market, the betting site will provide a range of odds for the specific outcome of the fight e.g. knockout, submission or by decision.
Sometimes a fighter’s path to victory can be so lob-sided, that if you believe he’s going to win, it’s worth raising your odds by adding the method.
When betting on the UFC with a method of victory, please bear in mind, this method will remove the 50/50 chances of straight betting a fighter to win. As there are now 3 available outcomes you’ll be betting up against.
UFC Parlay Betting
Betting on UFC can become a frustration when a fight night card is stacked with heavily juiced favorites. This is when parlay betting can become a valuable tool to use.
A parlay is a series of money line bets you have chosen being risked under the same stake, with a lower probability but a higher return. There is no limit as to how many fighters you can add to your slip, now and then a fight card will provide some very tempting fighters to put your money behind but their odds are often heavily swayed when you combine these odds. With a similar fight situation, you can combine your high-odd selections to receive a better pay-out.
Parlay betting is a fun method but also a dangerous one as your probability is dramatically decreased with each selection you add to the parlay. I’d advise to master your straight bets before delving into parlays. Check out our parlay calculator to easily calculate parlay payouts.
UFC Over/Under Betting
The Over/Under bets are another common sports market often utilized by bettors. The sportsbook will provide a round total and you have the choice of predicting the fight to survive over the total time, or under.
The majority of fights are three; five-minute rounds with the exceptions five-round championship fights. More often than not, the bookmaker will offer the choice of over/under 2.5 rounds on a three-round fight. The odds will be dependent on each fighter’s record, longevity and finish history.
If you placed a bet on the contest to go over 2.5 rounds, you would need both fighters to avoid a knockout, submission or disqualification within 12 minutes and 30 seconds. So long as your fighter reaches the second half of the third round, your bet will be successful.
UFC Round Betting
The UFC round betting market is basically what it says on the tin. You bet on which round you think the fight will end in. Odds on round betting are more lucrative and tempting, as predicting the round a fight will end in also includes the chances that bout won’t end at all.
One way to extend your odds even higher is to choose the fighter and round combination for your wager
UFC Prop Bets
The UFC prop betting market focus on the finer details of the contest you’re betting on. We’ve already discussed two prop betting markets in ‘method of victory’ and ’round betting’, but other prop bets include:
· Points handicap
· Fight to go the distance
· Fight of the night awards
UFC Underdogs
Each time you’re deciding which UFC fight is worth looking at or which fighter you think is going to win, it’s important to understand which fighter your bookmaker is favoring.
It can be a pleasant surprise if you’re planning on placing a wager on Demian Maia, and then when the odds are released your fighter has been pitted as the heavy underdog. At the same time, it can also hinder your thought process, and sometimes affect your final judgement. Always remember, the bookmaker is making judgements in a similar a fashion, but more often than not with less time and more pressure.
From a sample size of 625 fights, UFC underdogs priced between +100 / +122 have a returned an investment percentage of 11%. Meaning if you were to bet $100 on each of those fight’s you’d have turned a profit of $4510. The probability can drop to as low as 45%, which proves the guessing game can backfire. 52% of the underdogs in this price range won their fight, making moderate-slight underdogs a great long-term betting investment.
Compound Interest
Compound interest is a method used amongst business and the banking industry; it doesn’t seclude itself to MMA betting. The fundamentals involve regularly staking a small amount of your bankroll (1-5%), which leaves a lot of wiggle room to balance out the losses and can allow bets to remain the same.
If your starting bankroll is $1000 and you wanted to make a 2% every day, you can find a bet that’s going to give you a $20 return. If the wager is successful your new bankroll will be $1020 and the following day you’ll be after another 2%. So, because of your winnings and added bankroll, your return will need to slightly increase to $20.40. The next bet you place will give you a bankroll total of $1040.40.
Obviously, at first glance, these numbers don’t sound astonishing, but overdue-course compounding can kick-in a big way. 36 successful compounding can double your bankroll.
Now, these numbers presented are hypothetical but give you a clear and easy example of how compounding can work out and is almost foolproof, assuming that you have patience and dedication to UFC or MMA betting, it’s not the worst method to approach especially with juiced odds.
Flat Stake Betting
Flat stake betting is very similar to compound betting with one key difference, your wager amount doesn’t change using the flat stake method. Your stake size remains the same, therefore labelling the flat stake style as the ‘boring’ or ‘safe’ method.
The problems with flat stake betting are you have to work harder to find value. I’ve been flat stake betting for over five years and have utilized fighters who are being undervalued by the betting sites. This allows me to suffer more losses and find profit with even a percentage hit rate as 50%.
Implied Probability
In sports betting, the house (aka the bookmaker) will always hold an edge, also known as vig or vigorish. The implied probability of a set of events will always add up to over 100% and the amount that is over 100% is the bookmakers’ over-round (profit expect).
In other words, they aren’t lying when they say ‘the bookmaker always wins’ because of their house edge from bettors who’ve laid extra juice on the favorite is what’ll be paying your underdog winnings.
Implied probability in UFC betting is what the odds recommend the likelihood of an outcome happening is. The calculation is made by dividing one by the percentage odds.
So, if Anderson Silva is priced at +150 to win the fight, his implied probability of winning is 40%. If he was priced as the favorite at -200, his implied probability of winning would be 67%.
To profit utilizing implied probability you still need to find value in fights you think that bookmaker has inaccurately priced. The best handicappers on the planet will always make their wagers with a positive expected value, and these predictions are sometimes wrong but expected investment in the long run. Finding positive value is second nature to implied probability. Finding odds where you believe the real probability is higher than the implied probability is easier said than done
An implied probability calculator is a very useful betting tool and can be easily found online, and will give you access to the percentage you’ll be fighting against.
Bankroll Management
Your stake will vary depending on which betting method you approach, but it’s important to always remain disciplined.
Methods such as flat stake betting can take a long time to see any significant return on investment, which may seem you’re doing something wrong in the beginning, but it’s important to always remain calm. Impatience will only lead to chasing bets and silly mistakes.
Set aside X amount of money you want to invest into UFC betting, and treat that bankroll like a business.
UFC Betting Sites & Wagering on MMA Conclusion
Winning predictions don’t always amount to a profiting bankroll. The odds of those winning bets are what matters and if you’ve won 70% of bets but still aren’t profiting, you’ll know why. Sportsbooks are somewhat in the same boat as the bettor with possible outcomes and prediction methods, the built-in the margin to protect bookmakers from their losses isn’t something us punters have on instinct, we have to protect ourselves and our bankroll, and the best way to do that is by exploring your betting methods because there isn’t one guaranteed way of doing this job.
There is no secure and protective way to bet on the UFC but our best advice would be to assess the bookmaker’s value or non-value. If the wagers that you place have a positive expected value, theoretically you should make money in the long-run.
The value you find lines up with your perception, so it’s probably a good idea to become somewhat of an expert in the sport you’re betting. The value is subjective and only becomes valuable if your judgement is a good one. Identifying value and opportunities in the UFC betting market can become a fulltime job.
Where to Bet on UFC 253
UFC betting online is simple. To find the best UFC fights and odds you can use a comparison betting site like Sportsbook Review before placing your bet. UFC online betting has never been easier and finding the right sportsbook is imperative. Fortunately, SBR has your UFC online betting needs covered.
Having all the available odds on one page for each UFC event saves you the time of hunting for the best odds manually, and we all know line-shopping can consume valuable hours so be sure to use an odds comparison site before you begin sports betting UFC.
Mixed martial arts provides one of the most exciting and high-energy sports experiences in the world. While there is a multitude of different fighting organizations across the globe, nothing compares to the prestige of The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The UFC is the premier organization in all of mixed martial arts. It’s the pinnacle and the big stage where any and every aspiring fighter hopes to find themselves one day.
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Whether you’re an adrenaline junkie looking for more action on the fights or you’re a sports bettor looking for a competitive edge, you’ve come to the right place.
Below you’ll find a collection of expert picks, strategy guides, and anything else important that you need to crush the books and start making money betting on the UFC.
Our Expert Picks
It’s no secret that there are UFC experts. We’re not talking about your buddies that scream their “expert” knowledge at the TV during every UFC event at Hooters and say how every fighter is an idiot. We’re talking about ACTUAL experts who utilize their knowledge to win money betting on the UFC. It’s easy to have an opinion as a couch commander, but it’s much more challenging to put your money behind that decision and come out financially on top.
Normally this information is not available to the general public. These experts rarely share their secrets to making picks and certainly do not share their actual picks. Things are different here at The Sports Geek, though. We pull back the wool and give you unparalleled access to our team of experts. They’ll share how they make their picks, why they made those picks, and most importantly, who they are picking for upcoming fights.
How much? Free. Not to sound overly dramatic, but this information should cost thousands of dollars, and we are giving it to you for free. Not a free trial…not just the leftover bets…the actual bets our experts are going to make in real time, completely free. If you’re ready to see what our experts have to say, click on the link below and you’ll be entering the ring with some of the best bettors in the MMA industry for free.
Best UFC Betting Sites
Knowing which fighters to bet on or what bets to make is only half the battle. The other important thing to know is where the best place to place your bets is. In years past, your only option was to go to the closest sportsbook or casino which can sometimes be hundreds of miles away.
Even if you have a sportsbook close by, you’re stuck with the betting lines that they provide and the options of bets they choose to offer. This means no line shopping unless you are ready to test the durability of your car and its gas tank and sometimes the inability to leverage all of your knowledge.
Thanks to Al Gore (or whoever really created the internet) this has all changed. Online sportsbooks are prevalent and give you incredible access to more bet types, more perks, no lines, insane comfort and convenience, and most importantly the ability to shop betting lines to get the most bang for your buck.
Here you’ll find the list of the best online sportsbooks offering action on the UFC. What makes these sites the best? They offer the most bet types, the fastest payouts, and the easiest to use interfaces. Most importantly, though, these are sites you can trust. What’s the point of betting if you can’t be sure that you’re going to get paid when you win? The answer is there is no point which is why we made sure to vet these sites as extensively as humanly possible to ensure your safety.
It’s also important to point out that we DO NOT allow sites to pay for “better reviews” or “to be recommended”. The only way that any sportsbook makes it onto our recommended list is by offering the best and most trustworthy action out there.
UFC Betting Strategy
Understanding how the UFC operates and who the different fighters are is certainly important to be a successful sports bettor. However, it’s only a small piece of the strategic pie. Your baseline knowledge might help you enjoy the fights more, but it’s going to take some additional strategy considerations to start booking winning bets and padding your wallet.
Our experts have put together a comprehensive collection of UFC betting strategy tips to get you started on the road to making money. These betting tips will help to change the way you look at fights. The goal is to get you to look at fights less as a fan and more as an intelligent and sharp sports bettor who cares about making money off the fights.
Being a successful UFC sports bettor is much less about what you want to happen and sometimes not even about what you think is going to happen. It’s about finding value and making the bets with the highest expected value. Click below to see exactly what we’re talking about and elevate your UFC betting abilities to the next level.
The Most Popular UFC Bet Types
To fully understand UFC betting, you need to understand the different types of bets that are available to you. Surprising to some, you can bet on a lot more than whom the winners of the fights will be. Why is this important? Betting flexibility affords you the ability to leverage more specific predictions about how the fight will go which will earn you more money.
Picking the winner is great, but what if you can pick how the winner will win? If you know a fighter is going to submit the other fighter, shouldn’t you be able to cash in on this and get paid? This is the reason these other bet types are important to understand.
One key thing to remember before we get started is that just because these other bet types exist does not mean that you have to utilize them. There are plenty of successful professional UFC sports bettors that only bet on fight winners. We just want you to be aware that these options exist in case you find situations that you feel you can leverage a more specific prediction to make additional money. The more specific the pick is, usually the better the payout odds will be.
Money Line/Match Bets
While we did lead off telling you about how there are so many different bet types out there besides picking the fight winner, this does not mean that we can forget the most basic UFC bet available. The Moneyline or Match Bet is the bet where you pick the winner of a fight. This is the most popular bet type, and also the simplest to figure out and understand.
If fighter A is fighting fighter B and you bet that fighter A will win, all fighter A has to do is defeat fighter B and you win your bet! It does not matter how they win, what round they win in, or anything else. The only thing that matters is the fighter you bet on walks away with the victory.
Now, while the bet itself is simple to understand, there are a few things that may be a bit more confusing that you need to understand. Not all bets are paid out the same. Imagine if there was a fight between Anderson Silva and a 10-year-old boy that you could bet. The sportsbook also says that they are paying out even money (the same amount) for each fighter. What would happen if a sportsbook allowed this?
We’ll tell you. Everyone would bet on Anderson Silva, and when he destroyed the 10-year-old, the sportsbook would be out of money and no longer be in business. Obviously, they won’t allow this to happen. What they do is adjust the payouts to try and get the right amount of money bet on each fighter so that regardless of who wins the sportsbook pays out the same total amount.
How do they do this? They use what are called Money Lines. A money line is a number that dictates to you the sports bettor how much you will be paid out for a correct pick. This number will also show you whether or not the fighter is favored (based on bets) or is an underdog. Moneylines can be represented as American Odds, Fractional Odds, or Decimal Odds.
How To Bet Ufc
This will change depending on where you are in the world. These all mean the same thing, but for the sake of this discussion, we are going to use the American Odds. If you’re betting online at one of the sites we’ve recommended, you will be able to change the betting odds to whichever format you are most comfortable with.
Sportsbooks will continually alter these odds to “sweeten the pot” on the side of the bet that they need more bets on. For example, in our above example at even money, everyone would be betting on Anderson Silva. In order to try and get some bets on the 10-year-old (yes we know this is an insanely exaggerated example), they will shift the money line to pay out less for a bet on Anderson Silva and more for a bet on the 10-year-old. This should deter bets on Silva and encourage bets on the kid.
This means for you the bettor that you can’t just bet on who you think is going to win the fight. You need to make sure that the risk and reward are something you feel brings you value. For example, let’s say that Conor McGregor has a fight coming up and he is -380. You feel he is most likely going to win. Should you bet this?
Well, you have to realize that -380 means that Conor is the favorite and tells you that a $100 bet will only get you about $26 in profit if you are correct. Now you have to take a step back and look at how certain you are that Conor will win. If you think that payout is worth the risk, make the bet! If that doesn’t sound great to you, wait to see if the line moves and offers you a better price and a bigger payout.
Remember, on the other side of the coin the fighter who is an underdog will offer a much sweeter payday if you bet on them and they win. In that same fight against Conor, his opponent might be +340. This means that if you bet $100, you will win $340 in profit for a correct prediction! It’s important to realize this is done because the fighter is not expected to win.
Money Line bets are not just about picking the winner. It’s about picking a winner that is offering you a payout that you think is better than it should be. This is called finding value in your bets. In the above example, if you would be happy only getting $20 for a Conor win on a $100 bet, then this bet is a great value. If you think it’s only worth it to bet if you get $30 or more for a Conor win, then the bet does not have value and should be avoided.
Ufc Betting Picks
Value is a whole other can of worms we get into in the strategy section above, but for now, that should be enough for you to start to begin to understand Money Line bets. If you skipped the strategy section and this concept confuses you, or you want to learn more, we recommend going back and reading that section.
Place a bet on a fighter, and if they win, you win your bet. It’s that simple. The only part where it gets complicated is on exactly how much you will be paid for that correct prediction. You will always be paid something though with a correct pick.
Over Under Round Bets
A popular UFC bet you can make is the Over Under Round Bet. This bet allows you to wager when you think the fight will finish. For example, in a three-round non-title fight, you may be able to bet whether or not the fight will finish before or after 2.5 rounds. If you bet that the fight will finish under 2.5 rounds, you need the fight to finish before the 2 minute and 30-second mark of the third round.
It does not matter if it’s by submission or KO or TKO; as long as the fight finishes before that mark, you win your bet. If you bet the over on 2.5 rounds, you need the fight to last at least one second past the 2 minutes and 30-second mark of the third round.
What happens if you think the fight is going to go the full three rounds and go to the judges? You bet the over. Remember, all it says is that the fight has to last AT LEAST 2.5 rounds. Basically, the reason this is set at the 2.5 mark frequently and not at the 1.5 (halfway) point is it’s essentially a bet whether or not the fight is going to go the distance or not. You still do win if the fight ends in the last 2 minutes and 30 seconds as well, though.
These bets are great to make if you have a good idea of how you think the fight is going to go. Let’s say you think that two fighters don’t have the power or skills to stop each other and it’s going to be a big snooze fest. You might now have a prediction on who you think is going to win, but you can now bet that the fight will go the distance and make money on the boredom of the rest of us.
Prop and Victory Bets
Prop bets (proposition bets) are the collection of random bets that don’t fall into the above categories. Victory bets are a type of prop bet. Before we get into victory bets, let’s talk a little more about prop bets.
Prop bets are bets where something is proposed, and you bet on whether or not it is going to happen. For example, you might bet on which fighter will throw more jabs. This bet does not have a direct effect on the outcome of the fight (though it helps) and is independent of who the fight winner is. If you bet that fighter A will throw more jabs, and they throw 100 more than fighter B, but fighter B knocks fighter A out with one stiff right, you still win your bet.
The most popular prop bet in the UFC is the victory bet. Victory bets are bets on how the fight will end. For example, if you think the fight is going to end by submission, you could wager on that. Typically, the victory bets are attached to a fighter so you’d actually be betting that a particular fighter would be winning by submission.
There are times that you will see victory method bets available and not attached to a fighter. In this case, you are just hoping that the fight ends in the method you selected. These are rare, though.
As predicting the exact way a fight will end is much more challenging, the associated payouts will reward you handsomely. Expect to get paid well if you hit one of these victory bets especially if it’s tied to a particular fighter.
Pairing Complementary Bets
We briefly touched on this with the victory bets above, but we wanted to expand on the concept. You are not limited to only making one type of a bet on a fight. You’re free to make several different bet types if you have a strong prediction of how the fight is going to go.
For example, let’s say that in an upcoming fight you think that Michael Bisping is going to knock someone out clean early in the fight. Why just bet Bisping to win? You can place a bet on him to win, and you can place a bet on him to win by knockout, and you can place a bet for him to win under 2.5 rounds. That way, if you are correct, you’ll collect a huge payday.
If you happen to be mostly correct about a prediction, you’re still going to make money. Let’s say in the above example fight Bisping wins in the first round but does it by submission. You’re going to lose your victory bet, but you’re going to win your moneyline bet, and your under 2.5 rounds bet.
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The Big Picture – UFC Betting
Betting on the UFC can be both fun and lucrative as long as you know what you’re doing. Sports betting does not have to be gambling but can be a way to make some serious cash by leveraging your knowledge base (or the knowledge base of our experts here :) ). Gambling is betting on a game of chance while sports betting can be a profitable long-term endeavor.
Take this information and combine it with your own knowledge and research and hopefully, you’ll have a long and successful UFC sports betting career.
We also hope you check back often to see what our experts are picking and how that lines up with your thoughts and predictions. Whether you use our picks or not, it never hurts to see a different angle of how someone educated in the sport is looking at a fight. It may help you to get more confident in your pick or may save you from making a big mistake in case you missed something.
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Good luck friends!